Author Topic: Real Radio Tour Stats (Updated 5/2) (Read 5302 times)

Stephengencs · « **Reply #30 on:** March 30, 2005, 08:34:58 pm »

wolfman = O.G. fo\' life

regardless however....

Spacey, what are the odds of the breakfast opening up set 1 with tribal> something >tribal? set 2? encore?

also, with your best guess, when will food for thought be played again?

antbach · « **Reply #31 on:** March 30, 2005, 08:47:39 pm »

Quote from: Stephengencs

wolfman = O.G. fo\' life

regardless however....

Spacey, what are the odds of the breakfast opening up set 1 with tribal> something >tribal? set 2? encore?

also, with your best guess, when will food for thought be played again?

Third times a charm, ask once more

Wolfman · « **Reply #32 on:** March 30, 2005, 08:49:58 pm »

Quote from: Wolfman

Wolfman = Has a life now.

I do enjoy the spacey stats very much. Keep up the good work. Let me know when you can count notes, we can compare some notes. (Get it?) And if anyone is confused as to who the original and alltime Breakfast stats master is...click here.

http://www.thebreakfast.info/modules.php?name=Reviews&file=viewreview&id=82#c6

And when you\'re done with that, click here:

http://www.thebreakfast.info/forum/showthread.php?t=2013&highlight=pb%27s+notes+show

Stephengencs · « **Reply #33 on:** March 30, 2005, 08:54:57 pm »

Wolfy...its not because i dont believe you can count the notes of this band, i call, shennanigens on your notecounting abillities due to fear.....

Wolfman · « **Reply #34 on:** March 30, 2005, 08:58:33 pm »

Quote from: Stephengencs

Wolfy...its not because i dont believe you can count the notes of this band, i call, shennanigens on your notecounting abillities due to fear.....

Don\'t worry, I only use my insane counting and mathematical abilities for positive and useful things, such as creating custom scoresheets and stats for Tetris or counting cards at the blackjack table. Now THOSE talents pay off!

Stephengencs · « **Reply #35 on:** March 30, 2005, 09:05:25 pm »

Quote from: Wolfman

Don\'t worry, I only use my insane counting and mathematical abilities for positive and useful things, such as creating custom scoresheets and stats for Tetris or counting cards at the blackjack table. Now THOSE talents pay off!

believe me Wolf....I count the collective blessings of all the world that you never decided to use your powers for evil.

Stephengencs · « **Reply #36 on:** March 30, 2005, 09:05:56 pm »

oh and....

Spacey, what are the odds of the breakfast opening up set 1 with tribal> something >tribal? set 2? encore?

also, with your best guess, when will food for thought be played again?

Igziabeher · « **Reply #37 on:** March 30, 2005, 11:21:56 pm »

Quote from: Stephengencs

a second set like that NEEDS to happen on the road...

if that would have went down at Porters or if it goes down at UAC, you will have a virtual riot of insanity going on, I would find Drew Kingsley and give him a suplex while throwing up right at the transition from Scheme back into Episode 2....

Spacey · « **Reply #38 on:** March 31, 2005, 12:04:59 am »

Gencs,

Give me a minute, I just finsihed writing a paper on the Holocaust, started earlier and it had to be in by midnight. Give me 2 minutes to **** and I will have a few answers for you. Alright

Spacey · « **Reply #39 on:** March 31, 2005, 01:19:28 am »

Almost forgot about this, but before I head to bed;

TFA has opened up a first set about 10 times, thats including jam>
TFA as a second set opener 3 times
TFA as encore- has yet to happen, but may have overlooked.

My guestamation is this;

Anything can happen at anytime, but the possibilities of TFA opening a show are higher then encore or 2nd set. This doesn\'t mean that it will open a set before it encores. The last TFA opener 6-28-2003;Tribal Funk Affliction > Echidna\'s Arf (Of You) > Tribal Funk Affliction

I hope that the TFA>MooVoo2>GSOT>MooVoo2>TFA comes soon

As for the FFT, I wish for one soon. These have declined considerably over the last 2 years compared to 2001-2003. Considering the last FFT was on 3/4/2005 and the one prior to that was on 9-18-2004 (51 show difference)
Probably won\'t see a FFT for a while but I would like to be proved wrong and have on one April 9, 2005.

This is all true if they didn\'t play this tonight.

Overall, Having a TFA>

>TFA as 1st 10:1, 2nd set 5:2, encore 100:1
FFT=?

Beardslee Castle, closes the RR tour

NONE OF THIS IS OFFICAL TILL IT IS ENTERED INTO THE NEW DATABASE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING WORKED ON. OF COURSE, SOME SETLIST MAY NOT BE 100% ACCURATE AND EARLY SETLISTS, SOME DON\'T EXIST!

Todd · « **Reply #40 on:** March 31, 2005, 02:28:43 am »

I call the nOOb card!!! Wolfie would have had the odds set in stone, been sure and confident and stood behind them until death. Oh, by the way what\'s the weather gonna be tomorrow??? :lol:

skalnbyc · « **Reply #41 on:** March 31, 2005, 04:08:27 am »

Wolfman = original stat. master. I\'d like to see someone else track that kind of stuff. I think he\'s due for another tour in the coming years so we can spend a couple hours reading his 200 page review.

Mandler, time to take some notes on Real Radio tour. I would love to hear all about all the shows that none of us will be attending.

Wolfman · « **Reply #42 on:** March 31, 2005, 08:07:08 am »

Quote from: Spacey

Overall, Having a TFA>>TFA as 1st 10:1, 2nd set 5:2, encore 100:1

Spacey, love the raw data work, let me help with these odds though. You\'re saying that every tenth show opens with a Tribal sandwich and every 2.5 shows second set opens with a Tribal sandwich. The odds of getting Tribal by itself at any time in any given show are 12:1 and the odds of a Tribal sandwich at any point are 40:1. (Odds are based on alltime frequency and adjusted for recency.) Odds of Tribal sandwich opening first set are 380:1, odds of opening second set are significantly better at 160:1 given Tribal\'s tendency to be played in second set. Also, given the frequency of 3-song encores, there is only a 475:1 chance of getting any 3-song encore, and the odds of the 3-song encore being a Tribal sandwich are 3644:1. These are all actual odds. The betting odds are different of course, adjusted so that the house has an edge.

Overall your work is sick though space man. We should team up. Let me know if you need any help entering old data or coming up with some customized stats. We should create a Breakfast stat generator for all that\'s worthy of ihoz.com! My most recent project was a scoresheet for Dr. Mario on Excel that I made for Dobson (audiofile) that generates a bunch of cool custom stats when the user plugs in the data from the game. I\'ll send it to you.

As always people, there is a line on every song before each show, bets must be placed before the band takes the stage, parlays and teasers are available, anyone caught attempting to fix the setlists will be banned for life, and the juice is a generous 4.20%. Happy Breakfast betting.

Jim Cobb · « **Reply #43 on:** March 31, 2005, 10:29:33 am »

i\'ve gotta talk to jordan today so i\'m gonna start working on him for a UAC tribal>mooboo>tgsot>mooboo>tribal.

Spacey · « **Reply #44 on:** March 31, 2005, 10:31:16 am »

Wolfman,

I was just throwing numbers out, because Gencs kept asking. It wasn\'t meant to be taking seriousily. I don\'t have all the info for every time the song was played, thus leaving some of my answers a little whacky. I must say, that I will learn from your ways. You have a way with numbers and counting that amazes me.
Please, understand that I am only beginning to actually put entire setlists into a database. It will take time.

I will learn from you Jedi Master.